10.11.2008 21:05:00

MarkWest Energy Partners Reports Third Quarter 2008 Financial Results

MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P. (NYSE: MWE) (the Partnership) today reported cash available for distribution to common unitholders, or distributable cash flow (DCF), of $45.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2008, and $156.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. As a Master Limited Partnership, cash distributions to common unitholders are largely determined based on DCF. A reconciliation of DCF to income before provision for income tax, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, is provided within the financial tables of this press release.

The Partnership reported Adjusted EBITDA of $82.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2008, and $230.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. MarkWest believes the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA is useful to investors because it is commonly used by master limited partnerships in the midstream natural gas industry as an indicator of the strength and performance of ongoing business operations. A reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to income before provision for income tax, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, is provided within the financial tables of this press release.

The Partnership reported income (loss) before provision for income tax for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, of $234.7 million and $(15.3) million, respectively. The income (loss) before provision for income tax for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, includes $205.4 million and $(30.9) million, respectively, of non-cash gains (costs) associated with the mark-to-market of derivative instruments and compensation expense. Excluding these non-cash items, income before provision for income tax for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, would have been $29.3 million and $15.6 million, respectively.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, the Partnership reported income (loss) before provision for income tax of $44.4 million and $(24.0) million, respectively. The income (loss) before provision for income tax for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, includes $48.2 million and $82.8 million, respectively, of non-cash costs associated with the mark-to-market of derivative instruments and compensation expense. Excluding these non-cash items, income before provision for income tax for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, would have been $92.6 million and $58.8 million, respectively.

The Partnership actively manages the commodity price risks associated with its physical positions in an effort to reduce downside volatility and to protect cash flows. The Partnership does not designate its derivative instruments as cash flow or fair value hedges, and therefore derivative instruments are marked-to-market in the current period, which can result in large, non-cash fluctuations to the income statement. The mark-to-market of derivative instruments is a direct result of forecasted changes in the price of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. In addition, future cash flows or net income may be affected by changes in the correlations between crude oil and NGLs.

On October 22, 2008, the Board of Directors of the General Partner of MarkWest Energy Partners increased the Partnerships quarterly cash distribution to $0.64 per common unit for the third quarter of 2008, an increase of $0.09 per common unit compared to the distribution in the third quarter of 2007, and an increase of $0.01 per common unit compared to the distribution in the second quarter of 2008. The third quarter 2008 distribution will be paid on November 14, 2008, to unitholders of record on November 4, 2008.

"Our diverse set of assets continues to deliver solid financial performance and provide growth opportunities, said Frank Semple, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of MarkWest. "The third quarter DCF of $45 million allowed us to increase our third quarter distribution to $0.64 per common unit, which represents a 16 percent year-over-year increase for our unitholders with a coverage ratio of 1.25 for the quarter and a year-to-date coverage ratio of 1.48. Overall it was a good quarter particularly considering the significant decline in commodity prices during the quarter and the negative $3 million cash flow impact caused by the hurricanes.

"Looking forward, the global financial crisis demands aggressive actions designed to preserve capital and maximize liquidity. Our ongoing policy of maintaining a conservative balance sheet and distribution coverage ratio puts us in a good position to weather this storm. We raised $660 million of capital during the second quarter of 2008 that pre-funded the majority of our 2008 and 2009 capital program. We are in the process of eliminating all discretionary capital projects and prioritizing our available capital based on strategic objectives and critical customer requirements. We will spend approximately $565 million in 2008 to complete previously announced projects that generate high-quality, largely fee-based revenue in 2009 and beyond. Our forecast for 2009 capital expenditures has been reduced to $300 million and we will continue to right size our capital to support our producer customers drilling programs.

"Our full year DCF forecast has been revised to a range of $185 million to $195 million from our second quarter guidance of $220 million to $240 million based on several recent developments. The significant decrease in commodity prices since August accounts for approximately $25 million of the variance and the downstream curtailments and damage to our Starfish joint venture caused by Hurricane Ike accounts for approximately $10 million of the variance. Our 2009 DCF forecast of $180 million to $220 million is based on the current forward price curves for crude oil and natural gas and a return to the historical correlations between crude oil and NGLs by mid 2009. We included in this press release an enhanced sensitivity analysis for our 2009 DCF forecast that demonstrates the effect of hypothetical changes in commodity prices and NGL correlations. The table indicates that even with conservative assumptions for commodity prices and NGL correlations, we can still support modest distribution growth in 2009 and maintain a distribution coverage ratio in excess of 1.0.

"We have a great team and an outstanding set of assets and we recognize that our future success depends on our ability to effectively adjust and adapt to the current market conditions. We also remain optimistic about the long-term demand for natural gas and our quality midstream services. We will continue to focus on the critical priorities of customer service, financial strength, and sustainable distribution growth for our unitholders.

THIRD QUARTER 2008 HIGHLIGHTS

Business Development

  • Southeast Oklahoma On July 31, 2008, MarkWest completed the acquisition of PQ Gathering Assets, LLC, which owns gathering systems primarily located in Pittsburg County, Oklahoma, from PetroQuest Energy, LLC for approximately $40 million. MarkWest will invest additional capital over the next two years to support the development of PetroQuests Woodford Shale and coal bed methane initiatives in southeast Oklahoma.
  • Western Oklahoma On August 5, 2008, MarkWest signed a long-term agreement with Newfield Exploration to construct a 60-mile pipeline to gather and process Newfields gas from the Granite Wash formation in the Texas panhandle. Under this agreement, MarkWest acquired Newfields existing gathering system and will construct significant additional gathering infrastructure. Gas gathered under this agreement will be processed at the Arapaho II processing plant. MarkWest will also increase the number of interstate pipeline connections from two to four.
  • Northeast On October 20, 2008, MarkWest announced the commencement of the initial phase of Pennsylvanias first large-scale gas processing infrastructure with the successful launch of a 30-million-cubic-feet-per-day (MMcf/d) mechanical refrigeration processing plant in Washington County. In addition, MarkWest is constructing a 30 MMcf/d cryogenic processing plant, which includes a depropanizer to extract propane from the gas stream, which is expected to commence operations in the first quarter of 2009. MarkWest will also construct a 120 MMcf/d cryogenic plant with a depropanizer that is expected to be completed in late 2009 or early 2010.

Financial Results

Balance Sheet

  • As of September 30, 2008, the Partnership had $104.9 million of cash and cash equivalents and total assets of $2.6 billion. Total debt at September 30, 2008, was $987.8 million comprised of senior notes bearing interest at a weighted-average rate of 8.3% and maturing between 2014 and 2018.
  • The Partnership has a $350 million revolving credit facility with a 5-year term that matures in 2013. As of September 30, 2008, $270.4 million was available for borrowing under the revolving credit facility after consideration of $79.6 million of outstanding letters of credit.

Income Statement

  • Segment operating income for the third quarter of 2008 increased by $30.6 million compared to the same period in 2007. The increase was primarily attributable to:
    • An increase of $16.0 million in segment operating income for the Southwest segment. The increase was due to higher prices as well as increased volumes in our East Texas, southeast Oklahoma, and Other Southwest operating areas. The increases were partially offset by a short-term impact to operations related to Hurricane Ike and a decrease in gathering volumes in our Foss Lake system.
    • An increase of $13.3 million in segment operating income for the Northeast segment. This segment includes the results from MarkWest Hydrocarbon, and was benefited by higher NGL prices and sales volumes. The increase in volumes resulted from upgrades to our processing facilities and the expansion of an agreement with a large producer customer.
    • An increase of $1.4 million in segment operating income for the Gulf Coast segment. The increase was primarily due to higher NGL prices and an increase in the sale of pentanes due to the installation of a new pentane hydrotreater. The increases were partially offset by lower volumes related to temporary curtailments at the producers refineries caused by Hurricane Ike.
  • Realized losses on derivative instruments, which are not included in segment operating income, were $14.8 million in the third quarter of 2008, compared to a realized loss of $7.5 million in the third quarter of 2007. The change of $7.3 million is primarily a result of higher relative crude oil prices in 2008 compared to 2007.
  • Selling, general and administrative expenses in the third quarter of 2008 were $15.3 million, including $12.7 million of cash-related SG&A. This was an increase of $1.8 million of cash SG&A compared to the third quarter of 2007. The increase primarily resulted from costs to support the growth of the Partnership.

Growth Capital Expenditures

  • For the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008, expenditures for growth capital projects, including acquisitions and equity investments, totaled approximately $187.2 million and $380.6 million, respectively. This represents an increase of $100.2 million and $154.8 million, respectively, compared to the corresponding periods in 2007. The increase was attributable to a broad range of diverse growth capital projects in our core operating areas, including the expansion of the Partnerships gas gathering and processing capacity in western Oklahoma, southeast Oklahoma, and East Texas; the expansion of the gas processing and fractionation capacity of our legacy assets in the Appalachian region; the development of the gathering and processing infrastructure in the Marcellus Shale region; and the construction of the steam methane reformer at the Partnerships Javelina facility.

2008 DCF AND GROWTH CAPITAL FORECAST

For 2008, the Partnership adjusted its DCF forecast from a range of $220 million to $240 million to a range of $185 million to $195 million. The decrease is consistent with the sensitivity analysis reported in prior quarterly filings and is attributable to recent declines in commodity prices and processing margins, which accounts for approximately $25 million of the decrease, and downstream curtailments and damage to certain facilities of the Partnerships Starfish joint venture due to Hurricane Ike, which accounts for approximately $10 million of the decrease.

The Partnerships 2008 capital expenditure is forecasted at approximately $565 million. Maintenance capital for 2008 is forecasted in a range of $6 million to $8 million.

2009 PRELIMINARY FORECAST

For 2009, the Partnership is forecasting DCF in a range of $180 million to $220 million based on current forward price estimates for crude oil and natural gas and a return to historical price relationships between crude oil and NGLs by mid 2009. A sensitivity analysis for forecasted 2009 DCF is provided within the tables of this press release. Growth capital expenditures for 2009 are currently estimated at $300 million. Maintenance capital for 2009 is currently forecasted in a range of $5 million to $10 million.

CONFERENCE CALL

The Partnership will host a conference call and webcast on Tuesday, November 11, 2008, at 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time to review its third quarter 2008 financial results. Interested parties can participate in the call by dialing 888-469-1569, passcode "MarkWest, approximately ten minutes prior to the scheduled start time. To access the webcast, please visit the Investor Relations section of the Partnerships website at www.markwest.com. A replay of the conference call will be available on the MarkWest website or by dialing 800-879-3992 (no passcode required).

MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P. is a growth-oriented master limited partnership engaged in the gathering, transportation, and processing of natural gas; the transportation, fractionation, marketing, and storage of natural gas liquids; and the gathering and transportation of crude oil. MarkWest has extensive natural gas gathering, processing, and transmission operations in the southwestern and Gulf Coast regions of the United States and is the largest natural gas processor in the Appalachian region. The primary business strategy of MarkWest is to provide outstanding customer service at competitive rates and to expand its assets and cash flow available for distribution through a balanced combination of organic growth projects and selective acquisitions.

This press release includes "forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included or incorporated herein may constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results could vary significantly from those expressed or implied in such statements and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. The forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that affect our operations, financial performance, and other factors as discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Among the factors that could cause results to differ materially are those risks discussed in the periodic reports we file with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, as amended, for the year ended December 31, 2007 and in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the nine months ended September 30, 2008, as filed with the SEC. You are urged to carefully review and consider the cautionary statements and other disclosures made in those filings, specifically those under the heading "Risk Factors. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statement except as required by law.

MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Financial Statistics
(Unaudited, in thousands, except per unit data)
       

Three months ended
September 30,

Nine months ended
September 30,

2008 2007 2008 2007
Statement of Operations Data
Revenue:
Revenue $ 303,560 $ 199,934 $ 866,760 $ 590,342
Derivative gain (loss) 262,811   (24,386 ) (96,030 ) (52,208 )
Total revenue 566,371   175,548   770,730   538,134  
 
Operating expenses:
Purchased product costs 171,539 107,609 479,747 354,733
Derivative loss (gain) related to purchased product costs 67,574 14,450 (11,520 ) 19,158
Facility expenses 28,213 18,869 75,641 48,750
Derivative loss (gain) related to facility expenses 1,748 (245 ) 1,395 351
Selling, general and administrative expenses 15,331 11,164 54,406 50,545
Depreciation 17,510 11,133 48,533 28,632
Amortization of intangible assets 10,732 4,168 28,050 12,504
Loss on disposal of property, plant, and equipment 6 229 9 383
Accretion of asset retirement obligations 32 30 97 85
Impairment of long-lived assets -   356   5,009   356  
Total operating expenses 312,685   167,763   681,367   515,497  
 
Income from operations 253,686 7,785 89,363 22,637
 
Other income (expense):
(Loss) earnings from unconsolidated affiliates (196 ) 1,264 1,932 4,687
Interest income 1,421 403 3,597 3,923
Interest expense (18,928 ) (10,202 ) (47,527 ) (28,670 )
Amortization of deferred financing costs and discount (a component of interest expense) (1,080 ) (771 ) (7,287 ) (2,222 )
Miscellaneous (expense) income (99 ) 1,319   1,043   252  
Income (loss) before non-controlling interest in net income of consolidated subsidiaries and provision for income tax 234,804 (202 ) 41,121 607
Non-controlling interest in net (income) loss of consolidated subsidiaries (122 ) (15,131 ) 3,271   (24,653 )
Income (loss) before provision for income tax 234,682 (15,333 ) 44,392 (24,046 )
Provision for income tax (expense) benefit:
Current (7,544 ) (12,254 ) (22,876 ) (22,903 )
Deferred (40,592 ) 20,133   6,414   33,180  
Total provision for income tax (48,136 ) 7,879 (16,462 ) 10,277
       
Net income (loss) $ 186,546   $ (7,454 ) $ 27,930   $ (13,769 )
 
Net income (loss) per common unit (1):
Basic $ 3.29   $ (0.33 ) $ 0.57   $ (0.60 )
Diluted $ 3.26     $ (0.33 ) $ 0.56     $ (0.60 )
 
Weighted average number of outstanding units (1):
Basic 56,635   22,863   49,123   22,852  
Diluted 57,224   22,863   49,602   22,852  
 
Cash Flow Data
Net cash flow provided by (used in):
Operating activities $ 52,174 $ 64,171 $ 216,132 $ 96,535
Investing activities (189,341 ) (87,172 ) (648,794 ) (227,899 )
Financing activities (36,233 ) 39,526 499,880 138,954
 
Other Financial Data
Distributable cash flow $ 45,353 $ 156,737
 
Balance Sheet Data September 30, 2008 December 31, 2007
Working capital $ (42,863 ) $ 21,932
Total assets 2,591,166 1,524,695
Total debt 987,791 552,695
Total capital 1,057,761 39,391
 

(1) All unit and per unit data where applicable has been adjusted to reflect the 1.9051 exchange ratio to give effect to the redemption and merger between MarkWest Hydrocarbon, Inc. and MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P. on February 21, 2008.

 
MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Operating Statistics
       
 
Three months ended September 30, Nine months ended September 30,
2008 2007 2008 2007
Southwest
East Texas
Gathering systems throughput (Mcf/d) 441,800 421,000 431,700 410,000
NGL product sales (gallons) 49,422,700 46,262,000 140,777,800 132,536,000
 
Oklahoma
Foss Lake gathering system throughput (Mcf/d) 94,200 108,000 97,800 102,000
Grimes gathering system throughput (Mcf/d) 13,400 11,000 13,400 12,000
Arapaho NGL product sales (gallons) 20,327,200 22,409,000 62,487,300 65,166,000
Woodford gathering system throughput (Mcf/d) 282,500 130,000 247,000 95,000
 
Other Southwest
Appleby gathering system throughput (Mcf/d) 58,200 58,000 60,700 55,000
Other gathering systems throughput (Mcf/d) 12,000 6,900 11,100 9,200
 
Northeast
Appalachia (1)
Keep-whole sales (gallons) 27,482,700 20,620,000 96,335,000 89,301,000
Percent-of-proceeds sales (gallons) 13,772,300 11,172,000 35,142,100 33,219,000
Total NGL product sales (gallons) (2) 41,255,000 31,792,000 131,477,100 122,520,000
 
Michigan
Natural gas processed for a fee (Mcf/d) 3,900 4,900 3,100 5,700
NGL product sales (gallons) 504,800 963,000 1,728,800 3,153,000
Crude oil transported for a fee (Bbl/d) 13,000 13,800 13,500 14,100
 
Gulf Coast
Javelina
Refinery off-gas processed (Mcf/d) 120,100 124,500 123,400 119,000
Liquids fractionated (Bbl/d) 24,200 30,700 24,700 26,600
 
(1) Includes throughput from Kenova, Cobb, and Boldman processing plants.
(2) Represents sales at the Siloam fractionator.
 
MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Segment Operating Income and Reconciliation to GAAP Financial Measure
(Unaudited, in thousands)
       
 
Three months ended September 30, 2008: Southwest Northeast Gulf Coast Total
Revenue $ 192,675 $ 82,418 $ 28,467 $ 303,560
 
Operating expenses:
Purchased product costs 120,208 51,331 - 171,539
Facility expenses 16,670   6,172   5,085 27,927
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 55,797   $ 24,915   $ 23,382 $ 104,094
 
 
Three months ended September 30, 2007: Southwest Northeast Gulf Coast Total
Revenue $ 125,242 $ 49,413 $ 25,279 $ 199,934
 
Operating expenses:
Purchased product costs 74,674 32,935 - 107,609
Facility expenses 10,797   4,818   3,254 18,869
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 39,771   $ 11,660   $ 22,025 $ 73,456
 
 
 
Three months ended September 30,
2008 2007
 
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 104,094 $ 73,456
Derivative gain (loss) not allocated to segments 193,489 (38,591 )
Compensation expense included in facility expenses not allocated to segments (286 ) -
Selling, general and administrative expenses (15,331 ) (11,164 )
Depreciation (17,510 ) (11,133 )
Amortization of intangible assets (10,732 ) (4,168 )
Loss on disposal of property, plant, and equipment (6 ) (229 )
Accretion of asset retirement obligations (32 ) (30 )
Impairment of long-lived assets -   (356 )
Income from operations 253,686 7,785
Other income (expense):
(Loss) earnings from unconsolidated affiliates (196 ) 1,264
Interest income 1,421 403
Interest expense (18,928 ) (10,202 )
Amortization of deferred financing costs and discount (a component of interest expense) (1,080 ) (771 )
Miscellaneous (expense) income (99 ) 1,319  
Income (loss) before non-controlling interest in net income of consolidated subsidiaries and provision for income tax $ 234,804   $ (202 )

 

 

 

 
MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Segment Operating Income and Reconciliation to GAAP Financial Measure
(Unaudited, in thousands)
 
 
Nine months ended September 30, 2008: Southwest Northeast Gulf Coast Total
Revenue $ 536,563 $ 251,115 $ 79,082 $ 866,760
 
Operating expenses:
Purchased product costs 322,370 157,377 - 479,747
Facility expenses 45,189   16,161   13,341 74,691
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 169,004   $ 77,577   $ 65,741 $ 312,322
 
 
Nine months ended September 30, 2007: Southwest Northeast Gulf Coast Total
Revenue $ 351,599 $ 181,117 $ 57,626 $ 590,342
 
Operating expenses:
Purchased product costs 225,136 129,597 - 354,733
Facility expenses 31,287   12,127   5,336 48,750
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 95,176   $ 39,393   $ 52,290 $ 186,859
 
 
 
Nine months ended September 30,
2008 2007
 
Operating income before items not allocated to segments $ 312,322 $ 186,859
Derivative loss not allocated to segments (85,905 ) (71,717 )
Compensation expense included in facility expenses not allocated to segments (950 ) -
Selling, general and administrative expenses (54,406 ) (50,545 )
Depreciation (48,533 ) (28,632 )
Amortization of intangible assets (28,050 ) (12,504 )
Loss on disposal of property, plant, and equipment (9 ) (383 )
Accretion of asset retirement obligations (97 ) (85 )
Impairment of long-lived assets (5,009 ) (356 )
Income from operations 89,363 22,637
Other income (expense):
Earnings from unconsolidated affiliates 1,932 4,687
Interest income 3,597 3,923
Interest expense (47,527 ) (28,670 )
Amortization of deferred financing costs and discount (a component of interest expense) (7,287 ) (2,222 )
Miscellaneous income 1,043   252  
Income before non-controlling interest in net income of consolidated subsidiaries and provision for income tax $ 41,121   $ 607  
 
MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Reconciliation of GAAP Financial Measures to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Distributable Cash Flow (DCF)
(Unaudited, in thousands)
   
Three months Nine months

ended September 30,

ended September 30,

2008 2008
 
Income before provision for income tax $ 234,682 $ 44,392
Depreciation, amortization, accretion, loss on disposal of PP&E, and impairments 28,361 81,932
Amortization of deferred financing costs 1,080 7,287
Non-cash loss (earnings) from unconsolidated affiliates 196 (1,932 )
Distributions from unconsolidated affiliates 1,875 5,445
Non-cash compensation expense 2,869 11,430
Non-cash derivative activity (208,267 ) 36,802
Provision for income tax - current (7,544 ) (22,876 )
Other (5,736 ) (1,149 )
Maintenance capital expenditures (2,163 ) (4,594 )
Distributable cash flow allocable to common units

$ 45,353

 

$ 156,737

 
 
Maintenance capital expenditures

$ 2,163

$ 4,594
Growth capital expenditures 187,248   380,625  
Total capital expenditures

$ 189,411

  $ 385,219  
 
Distributable cash flow allocable to common units $ 45,353 $ 156,737
Maintenance capital expenditures 2,163 4,594
Changes in receivables 2,324 (18,316 )
Changes in inventories (23,094 ) (30,487 )
Changes in other assets 15,425 37,480
Changes in accounts payable, accrued liabilities and other long-term liabilities 18,366 78,971
Derivative instrument premium payments, net of amortization (14,399 ) (14,399 )
Other 6,036   1,552  
Net cash provided by operating activities $ 52,174   $ 216,132  
 
MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Reconciliation of GAAP Financial Measures to Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Adjusted EBITDA
(Unaudited, in thousands)
   
Three months Nine months

ended September 30,

ended September 30,

2008 2008
 
Income before provision for income tax $ 234,682 $ 44,392
 
Non-cash compensation expense 2,869 11,430
Non-cash derivative activity (208,267 ) 36,802
Interest expense 20,008 54,814
Depreciation, amortization, accretion, loss on disposal of PP&E, and impairments 28,361 81,932
Adjustment for cash flow from non-consolidated investments 4,314 4,314
Merger-related minority interest adjustment -   (3,393 )
Adjusted EBITDA $ 81,967   $ 230,291  

MarkWest Energy Partners, L.P.
Distributable Cash Flow Sensitivity Analysis
(Unaudited, in millions)

MarkWest periodically estimates the effect on Distributable Cash Flow (DCF) resulting from its hedge program, changes in crude oil and natural gas prices, and the correlation of NGL prices to crude oil. The table below reflects MarkWests estimate of the range of DCF for 2009 at the noted crude oil prices. The analysis assumes various combinations of crude oil prices and the ratio of crude oil to gas based on three natural gas liquids (NGL) correlation scenarios, including:

a. The historical average NGL correlation to crude over the past three years.

b. One standard deviation above the historical average NGL correlation to crude over the past three years.

c. One standard deviation below the historical average NGL correlation to crude over the past three years.

The analysis further assumes derivative instruments outstanding as of November 1, 2008, and production volumes estimated through December 31, 2009.

The range of stated hypothetical changes in commodity prices considers current and historic market performance. Over the past 10 years, the crude oil to gas ratio has ranged from 3.3:1 to 14.1:1 and averaged 8.3:1. The table is based on current information, expectations, and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects, and does not consider actions MarkWest management may take to mitigate exposure to changes. Nor does the table consider the effects that such hypothetical adverse changes may have on overall economic activity.

Estimated Range of 2009 DCF in millions:

                                                 
Crude Oil to Gas Ratio

Crude Oil Price

   

NGL Correlation

    10:1         9:1         8:1         7:1         6:1

 

One standard deviation above historical average     $ 268         $ 264         $ 255         $ 244         $ 231

$90

Historical average     $ 235         $ 231         $ 222         $ 212         $ 205
      One standard deviation below historical average     $ 202         $ 197         $ 190         $ 186         $ 180

 

One standard deviation above historical average     $ 257         $ 253         $ 246         $ 236         $ 222

$80

Historical average     $ 224         $ 220         $ 213         $ 203         $ 196
      One standard deviation below historical average     $ 190         $ 187         $ 180         $ 176         $ 171

 

One standard deviation above historical average     $ 253         $ 250         $ 244         $ 235         $ 223

$70

Historical average     $ 220         $ 217         $ 211         $ 202         $ 194
      One standard deviation below historical average     $ 186         $ 184         $ 177         $ 173         $ 168

 

One standard deviation above historical average     $ 244         $ 242         $ 237         $ 230         $ 219

$60

Historical average     $ 211         $ 209         $ 204         $ 196         $ 187
      One standard deviation below historical average     $ 177         $ 175         $ 170         $ 165         $ 161

 

One standard deviation above historical average     $ 241         $ 240         $ 236         $ 230         $ 221

$50

Historical average     $ 207         $ 206         $ 202         $ 196         $ 187
      One standard deviation below historical average     $ 173         $ 172         $ 168         $ 162         $ 159

Although MarkWest believes the expectations reflected in this analysis are reasonable, MarkWest can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct and readers are cautioned that projected performance, results, or distributions may not be achieved. Actual changes in market prices, and the correlation between crude oil and NGL prices, may differ from the assumptions utilized in the analysis. Actual results, performance, distributions, volumes, events, or transactions could vary significantly from those expressed, considered, or implied in this analysis. All results, performance, distributions, volumes, events, or transactions are subject to a number of uncertainties and risks. Those uncertainties and risks may not be factored into or accounted for in this analysis. Readers are urged to carefully review and consider the cautionary statements and disclosures made in MarkWests periodic reports filed with the SEC, specifically those under the heading "Risk Factors.

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